Friday, June 13, 2025

Israel-Iran Conflict: A ticking bomb with global shockwaves!

Raju Korti
As someone who has watched international conflicts unfold over the years, I find the current Israel-Iran confrontation particularly unsettling. Not just for the immediate violence it entails, but for the broader ripple effects it threatens to unleash. What began as shadow skirmishes and proxy battles has now spiralled into a direct face-off, with both nations publicly declaring their intentions and red lines. One side has declared it’s prepared for an all-out war; the other has promised nothing short of full-force retaliation. When a country openly threatens to wipe out another’s oil infrastructure or dares it to accept the destruction of its nuclear program in silence, it is no longer just rhetoric. It is a scenario one misstep away from spiraling into a region-wide disaster.

What’s more worrisome is that this isn't merely a bilateral squabble. It comes with undertones of shifting global power dynamics, with the US trying to strike a careful balance -- disowning direct involvement while making it clear that Iran must not develop nuclear weapons. Yet the irony is hard to miss. While the US distances itself politically, its military footprint in the region still makes it a target, perhaps by design or by accident. And Iran’s arsenal of ballistic missiles -- many of which can reach American bases in Iraq and the Gulf --only sharpens that possibility. With Iran already launching hundreds of drones and missiles, and Israel taking out key Iranian military and nuclear sites, this is a conflict that has left the realm of plausible deniability. We are now in open confrontation territory.

But there may be something more at play here. One can't help but feel that the theatre of conflict has shifted from South Asia to the Middle East with uncanny timing. For decades, the world’s attention was locked on the India-Pakistan fault line, and to an extent, the Afghanistan tangle. Now, it is the Israel-Iran corridor that’s ablaze, possibly because of wider geopolitical recalibrations. Is this a deliberate redirection of global focus? Or is it the natural outcome of unresolved tensions that have long been simmering beneath the surface? Either way, the Middle East is once again the crucible in which international power games are being tested -- and this time, they come with nuclear undertones, energy disruptions, and heightened religious and ideological stakes.

One of the most critical flashpoints in all this is the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow waterway through which nearly a third of the world’s seaborne oil flows. A serious disruption here wouldn’t just affect Israel or Iran. It would send oil prices soaring globally, choke shipping routes, and hurt economies like India that are heavily dependent on imported energy. Already, oil markets are reacting nervously. Geopolitics is back in the driver's seat, and oil is once again the gauge of global anxiety. If the current tit-for-tat spirals into a prolonged conflict, the effects won’t be limited to missile damage or diplomatic fallout. They will be felt at fuel stations, stock exchanges, and dinner tables far from the Middle East. That’s why this isn’t just Israel vs. Iran. It is a moment where the world holds its breath -- and perhaps, as history has shown us too often, hopes in vain for wiser heads to prevail.

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